Will 500,000 Palestinian civilians be externally displaced from Gaza by the end of 2024?
Plus
29
Ṁ2721Jan 1
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@Weezing This is about externally displaced, not internally. Definitely way more internally displaced but very few have been allowed to leave Gaza so far.
Related questions
Related questions
Will there still be Israeli hostages in Gaza, by the end of 2025
60% chance
Will The Palestianians who evacuated to southern Gaza be allowed to return by the end of 2025? (M 500 Subsidies)
46% chance
[Metaculus] Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?
10% chance
Will 200,000 or more Gazans voluntarily emigrate by the end of 2024?
8% chance
How many Gazans will starve to death by the end of 2025?
Will at least 100k Palestinians emigrate from the Gaza strip by EOY 2024?
10% chance
Will Gazans displaced following Israel's evacuation orders be allowed back to Northern Gaza by EOY 2024?
18% chance
Will Israel ethnically cleanse the Gaza strip of more than 100,000 Palestinian civilians by 2025?
13% chance
Will Gaza be de facto controlled by Israel at the end of 2024?
14% chance
Will the Palestinian population of the Gaza Strip drop below 2,000,000 before 2025?
5% chance