Who will be on the winning U.S. presidential ticket (President + VP) in 2028?

Question

This is a multi-answer market. Pick all individuals who will be on the winning presidential ticket in the 2028 U.S. general election: the person elected President, and their official running mate elected Vice President.

Two answers will resolve YES:

⁃	The President-elect and

⁃	Their VP running mate

All other options will resolve NO.

Resolution is based on official election results, not inauguration.

If a winning candidate dies, drops out, or is replaced after the election, they will still resolve YES. Any replacements who were not on the ticket that won, will resolve NO.

Expected to resolve by mid-December 2028, once all states have certified their results and the Electoral College has voted.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, J.D. Vance, followed by Gavin Newsom and Marco Rubio are most likely. See the market for live updates (57 traders, as of Mar 17, 2026).