Who will run for President of the United States in 2028?
99%
Gavin Newsom
89%
Pete Buttigieg
87%
JD Vance
81%
Gretchen Whitmer
80%
Josh Shapiro
80%
Cory Booker
80%
JB Pritzker
75%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
70%
Nikki Haley
57%
Tulsi Gabbard
50%
Kamala Harris
50%
Ted Cruz
50%
Marco Rubio
50%
Chris Van Hollen
39%
Ron DeSantis
38%
Tim Walz
34%
Greg Abbott
34%
Vivek Ramaswamy
34%
Glenn Youngkin
34%
Kristi Noem

Each option resolves YES when the respective candidate files a FEC Form 2 seeking the office of President, the formal statement of candidacy. (Informal statements by the candidate are irrelevant to resolution.)

All other options resolve NO once all relevant deadlines have passed. Close date is provisional in that this market will likely resolve earlier than it once I identify all relevant deadlines.

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