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Will the Time person of the year in 2024 be the US president-elect?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This resolves positively if the Time person of the year in 2024 is the president-elect or both the president- and vice-president-elect, as determined by projected electoral votes as called by the Associated Press
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
Hmmm. Historically, it seems that Time has always featured the President-elect even if it was for a second term, but they have not always done so in the year of the election. This could go either way.
@DanielParker For what itโs worth, the last time the President-elect was not Person of the Year was 1996. I think if Trump wins, itโs a no brainer Person of the Year given him as a character & Project 2025. If Biden wins, maybe itโs a little more iffy? Thatโs my reading of it.