MANIFOLD
Who will be Time Magazine's 2024 Person of the Year?
55
Ṁ4.8kṀ37k
resolved Dec 13
Resolved
YES
Donald Trump
Resolved
NO
Fani Willis
Resolved
NO
Jack Smith
Resolved
NO
Tanya Chutkin
Resolved
NO
Joe Biden
Resolved
NO
Sam Altman
Resolved
NO
Elon Musk
Resolved
NO
Taylor Swift
Resolved
NO
Xi Jinping
Resolved
NO
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Resolved
NO
Michael Johnson
Resolved
NO
Nikki Haley
Resolved
NO
Kamala Harris
Resolved
NO
MBS
Resolved
NO
Vladimir Putin
Resolved
NO
Hakeem Jefferies
Resolved
NO
Recep Erdogan
Resolved
NO
Mr Beast
Resolved
NO
Narendra Modi
Resolved
NO
ChatGPT

Resolution criteria same as @Joshua market for 2023.

Market context
TIME Person of the Year
AI Person of the Year
Future US Presidents
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@mods please resolve, banned creator, thanks.

Also, everything seems too high. The top six options alone should all be mutually exclusive, and they add up to over 100%.

bought Ṁ100 NO

Why do we have "Supreme Court Justices" and SCOTUS? Shouldn't one be removed?

bought Ṁ20 NO

@BTE Can you N/A one of these so we don't have duplicates?

@TimothyJohnson5c16 This is not a linked market. And I don't see any duplicates?

@BTE We have both Supreme Court Justices and SCOTUS. Isn't that the same thing?

I'm confused by this @BTE, why is it an unlinked market?

bought Ṁ10 NO

Suggest new people to add to the list here in the comments. Don’t want to have the same spam problem this time!

This is a clean, unlinked copy of /BTE/who-will-be-time-magazines-2024-per

bought Ṁ5 YES

If it's Biden/Harris, do they resolve to 50% each or 100% each?

@Joshua Each option resolves either 100 or 0.

@BTE Okay cool makes sense, less math this way and troll options can be N/Aed

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