
Who will be the TIME 2024 Person of the Year?
371
24kṀ570kresolved Dec 12
100%99.0%
Donald Trump and/or JD Vance
0.5%
Joe Biden and/or Kamala Harris (or any Dem ticket)
0.0%
Artificial Intelligence (or any AI company, concept, etc)
0.0%
The Victims of War (or any related abstract / group)
0.0%
The Supreme Court (or any judges / related concept)
0.0%
Trump Prosecutors (e.g. Jack Smith, Fanni WIllis)
0.0%
RFK Jr. (Independent Presidential Candidate)
0.0%
Xi Jinping (President of PRC)
0.0%
Vladimir Putin (President of Russia)
0.0%
Benjamin Netanyahu (PM of Israel)
0.0%
Taylor Swift (Taylor Swift)
0.0%
Sam Altman (CEO of OpenAI)
0.0%
The Pope (including any new Pope)
0.0%
Jerome Powell (Chair of the Federal Reserve)
0.0%
Union Workers (or any related concept / group)
0.0%
Janet Yellen (US Treasury Secretary)
0.0%
Jensen Huang (President of NVIDIA)
0.0%
Satya Nadela (CEO of Microsoft)
0.0%
King Charles III (Monarch of UK)
0.0%
Ali Khamenei (Iran Supreme Leader)
This question resolves to the TIME 2024 Person of The Year. This was most recently won by Taylor Swift, Volodymyr Zelenskyy & The Spirit of Ukraine, Elon Musk, and Joe Biden & Kamala Harris. You can see all previous winners here.
This market uses consolidated answers to avoid having to predict who the major party nominees will be, or the exact wording of any abstract/group answers. If multiple options do end up being true based on TIME choosing something like "Donald Trump and The Supreme Court", then those options will resolve to an even split of 100% (50%-50%, in that example). You can find more edge-case rules in my 2023 POTY market.
You can submit suggestions for people to add here:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ13,749 | |
2 | Ṁ10,545 | |
3 | Ṁ5,601 | |
4 | Ṁ2,490 | |
5 | Ṁ2,069 |