What will be true about 2024's Time Person of the Year?
➕
Plus
76
Ṁ11k
Dec 19
91%
A specific living individual
87%
Has won Times POTY before
87%
Photo exists of them wearing a baseball hat
86%
Recording exists of them saying "fuck"
85%
English speaker (human)
85%
Male
85%
Two or more children
84%
Heterosexual
84%
White
82%
Leader (or leader elect) of P5 country : 🇨🇳 🇬🇧 🇺🇸 🇷🇺🇫🇷
81%
Has been to Africa
81%
6 feet / 183 cm or taller
81%
Born after Hiroshima bombing & before Macintosh 128K release
78%
Abrahamic religion
77%
At least one divorce (human)
76%
Currently married
75%
At least 75 years old at time of announcement
75%
An individual head of state (current or elect)
70%
Jeffrey Epstein associate
68%
Blue eyes

Rules (In Progress)

  • If the answer is marked HUMAN, it will be resolved NO if an object or other non-human wins (Example: ChatGPT does not count as an English speaker)

  • If the answer is marked INDIVIDUAL, it will resolve NO if more than one person wins.

  • If a group of people wins, an answer must apply to ALL of them for it to resolve YES. (Example: If the answer is 'Bald', and a group of five people win, it will resolve YES if all five are Bald, and NO if at least one person is not Bald.)

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ50 A specific living in... NO

I've pushed "a specific individual" down a bit.

Vibe that Time will do something other then give it to just Trump, from obvious "Trump/Elon/Vance" to finding something weird like "anti incumbancy".

bought Ṁ10 Has won Times POTY b... YES

We're obviously counting Kamala Harris's adopted children as "having 2 children", right?

A specific living individual
opened a Ṁ150 A specific living in... YES at 87% order

this was under ranked compared to all the other answers that reasonably/probably could apply only to a specific individual winner.

6 feet / 183 cm or taller

@strutheo lol this should be marked “citation needed” as let’s just say there could be significant debate as to the veracity of this claim.

reposted

halfway through the year

reposted

bump due to rumors

Do you agree that Trump, Biden, Putin, and Altman all have blue eyes? 🧿🧿

@33 seems yes based on some googling

@strutheo Ya, Trump's are sometimes listed as grey, so thanks for the confirmation!

Trump is an avid golfer. Biden is a cyclist.

It doesn't say professional

@33 im going to update it to be professional thanks for pointing out

@strutheo better sell! :)

How does it resolve for a collection of people? Two examples that maybe have different treatment

  • “You” (6billion people)

  • “Biden and Harris” (2 people)

@Gen trying to think of a good way to do this

Method 1 - classify all answers as 'individual' or 'group' in the response. and if a a 'group' ends up being picked, i can NA or NO all the 'individual' answers (like blue eyes , 6 feet tall, etc)

Method 2 - if there is a group of people and any one of them has the trait (eg blue eyes) then we can resolve those YES

still unsure which i prefer

@Gen adding some rules to the description let me know if you think of any more edge cases

hmm any source we can use for this @33

@strutheo I'm willing to research it

@Tumbles I think most year's would be a no. 2023's winner might need a pole, I mean poll, to resolve. There's quite a large sample to draw results from.

But ya, I say Tumbles gets the final say on this one.

Has won Times POTY before

Does this apply to anyone who read the 2006 Time POTY ?

@Tumbles no haha (unless they do YOU again)

Does English speaker mean native English speaker or does second-language count? Would ChatGPT count as an English speaker?

@JakobBrunker english speaker will imply they speak english conversationally , does not have to be first language. and we won't consider any non humans as a 'speaker' for the purposes of this question.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules