In most past years, TIME has released a shortlist of people they considered naming as person of the year, in addition to the winner. If an answer submitted to this market is on the 2024 POTY list, including the winner, it resolves to YES.
An answer can resolve YES even if TIME does not use the exact wording of the answer, or if that person is a subcategory of a nominated group. The exception to this is if the option says "specifically" like the ChatGPT option does to distinguish it from the overall AI option.
If there is not a shortlist this year, all options resolve N/A except the winner and [There will be no shortlist].
This is an independent free response market, anyone can submit an answer and if other people trade on those answers you will receive unique trader bonuses.
For reference, the 2023 Shortlist was:
You can find other TIME markets by me here:
/Joshua/who-will-be-the-time-person-of-the-6ef43addcc5b
1,000
3.00@TiredCliche he easily won his beef, had a months-spanning chart-topping hit, got booked for the Super Bowl, and dropped an album critics are calling his best in a while. I feel like he's at LEAST making the shortlist.
@benshindel I don't think it's 50%, but it's very silly that he was ranked below Gavin Newsome and Sam Altman before I started betting him up.