Who will be Time Magazine's 2024 Person of the Year?
Who will be Time Magazine's 2024 Person of the Year?
2k
30kṀ3m
resolved Dec 12
100%99.2%
Donald Trump
0.0%
Justice
0.0%
Fani Willis
0.0%
Jack Smith
0.0%
Tanya Chutkin
0.0%
Joe Biden
0.0%
Sam Altman
0.2%
Elon Musk
0.0%
Taylor Swift
0.0%
Xi Jinping
0.0%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
0.0%
Michael Johnson
0.0%
Nikki Haley
0.0%
Kamala Harris
0.0%
MBS
0.0%
Vladimir Putin
0.0%
Hakeem Jefferies
0.0%
Recep Erdogan
0.0%
Mr Beast
0.0%
Narendra Modi

Resolution criteria same as @Joshua market for 2023.

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3mo

@MichaelWheatley remains the king of the Time POTY leaderboard

3mo

@benshindel Awards markets are great because I don't need to know facts about the world, I just need to know the opinions of other uninformed people.

@MichaelWheatley if it was a joint Trump / Vance cover, I would have taken that #1 spot from you

3mo

Well that was boring

3mo

no bing that's not what I was looking for

bought Ṁ20 JD Vance YES3mo

Some of you seem to have forgotten about the rules around joint winners lol

bought Ṁ12 JD Vance YES3mo

@benshindel Can a brother get a link to the leak?

3mo

I'd be pretty surprised if Vance was alongside trump

3mo

@AlQuinn That article does not inspire 98% confidence.

bought Ṁ25 Elon Musk YES3mo

@Shai polymarket has $15,000 on trump above 90% so

3mo

@benshindel I'm counting on it ;-)

bought Ṁ2 Donald Trump NO

@AlQuinn My mental model says trump is made slightly less likely by there being a leak saying it's trump because they'll sell more if it's surprising and they can just instantly switch to another prewritten article version

opened a Ṁ100 JD Vance YES at 1.0% order3mo

@Bayesian I put up another limit order on Vance, if you're interested.

3mo

@TheAllMemeingEye yeah, not convinced either on leak veracity. I still think it will be shared with others in the broletariat magasphere. I hodl my Musk shares.

@AlQuinn that would just anger Trump for no reason after he did them a favor by agreeing to an interview and photos.

bought Ṁ6 Yulia Navalnaya YES3mo
3mo

Luigi Mangione for POTY ‘25

3mo

@EricJacobsen I’m not sure, is this accurate?

answered8mo
JD Vance
opened a Ṁ100 JD Vance YES at 2% order3mo

If you don't believe that it could be Trump/Vance, please fill my limit order 😉

sold Ṁ0 Mr Beast YES3mo

@TimothyJohnson5c16 put more I wanna sell my vance YES shares

3mo

@Bayesian Added a little more for you.

3mo

@TimothyJohnson5c16 Vance wasn't on the shortlist.

3mo

@squirrelfish Neither was Kamala in 2020.

3mo

Can someone explain why I suddenly own 2500 shares of mark Zuckerberg and Kate Middleton? Did I win a “being wrong” competition?

3mo

@persimmon You probably bought YES shares on Other, so you get shares on every new option that's added to the market.

3mo

@persimmon You have 2500 shares in "Other" which means any new option created will give you 2500 shares for free

3mo

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