Will The Time Person of The Year be a repeat winner from prior years in 2024
Basic
21
2.8k
2025
47%
chance

This is excluding all unnamed groups of people who won in the past unless they are exactly the same.

I.e. if the winner is American women it would resolve yes but if an American women (Jennifer Lawrence) wins it will resolve no.

Here is the list excluded:

The American fighting-man / The American soldier (1950 and 2003)

The Hungarian freedom fighter (1956)

U.S. scientists (1960)

The Inheritor (1966)

Middle Americans (1969)

American women (1975)

You (2006)

The Protester (2011)

Ebola fighters (2014)

The Silence Breakers (2017)

The Guardians (2018)

If the winner is an unnamed list of people it will resolve as N/A

I will abstain from betting in this market

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bought Ṁ50 YES

@JoelMcGuire I'm assuming this would resolve YES if, say, the TIME POTY was "Trump and JD Vance" or "Harris and Shapiro" or whatever, since Trump and Harris have each won before, yes?

Yes it would

predicts NO

@JoelMcGuire The Title says "Will the Time Person of The Year be a repeat in 2024"

A better way to ask is "Will The Time Person of The Year be a repeat winner from prior years in 2024?" , based on the description, do you agree?

@SirCryptomind thanks! Changed