What markets were intentionally and fraudulently misresolved in 2022?
11
900Ṁ336
resolved Jan 11

The goal of this market is to compile a list of clear cases of authors committing intentional fraud in misresolutions. These are very rare and I can only think of a couple examples. [Edit: they were very rare until recently when a few scammer authors started doing it on a lot of markets]

Each answer should be a specific market. Resolves equally (up to 20% each) to all answers that were incorrectly resolved, intentionally and fraudulently, during 2022, based on community consensus. Borderline cases may count as half.

This criteria may be somewhat subjective, but relevant factors include: did the author take the mana and run? Did the author brag about trolling traders? Etc.

If there are up to 5 answers that are accepted, each of them will be chosen at a 20% share, and the answer "Less than 5" will be chosen with the remainder. If there are more than 5, then resolves to each of them equally. (For the purposes of this calculation, borderline cases count as half.)

Includes markets both past and future, as long as they resolved in 2022.

Fine print:

  • I will do my best to clarify the criteria based on community discussion and consensus, but ultimately it is subjective and ambiguous. I don't know how to clearly define fraudulent, for example - if anyone has input on how to make it clearer please comment!

  • Only submitted answers will be considered. If a market meets the criteria but nobody submits it, then it doesn't count. I intend to submit any markets that I notice that qualify, but of course I might miss some.

  • Late resolution will not be considered in this market, although I can think of at least one case of intentional late resolution.

  • If there are duplicate answers that refer to the same market, only the earliest will be chosen.

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