
Will China Invade Taiwan in 2022?
Will China Invade Taiwan in 2022?
17
310Ṁ2043resolved Mar 24
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will include tips for winning side
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ201 | |
2 | Ṁ134 | |
3 | Ṁ34 | |
4 | Ṁ27 | |
5 | Ṁ26 |
Sort by:
predictedNO 2y
@ThomasSmyth You can follow the money to their other accounts they are on their 3d atm .
I've flagged this market as "improperly resolved" by clicking the little flag in the top right corner, I'd encourage all other traders to do the same.
Will China Invade Taiwan in 2022?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2025?
11% chance
Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
27% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2025
9% chance
When will China invade Taiwan
Will China begin an invasion of Taiwan by 2028?
33% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?
7% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?
7% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan in 2025?
9% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by EOY 2025/beginning of year 2026?
15% chance