Matthew Yglesias is a liberal American blogger and journalist who writes about economics and politics. He publishes the Substack newsletter Slow Boring.
Recently he made 10 predictions on foreign elections, published on
https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-predictions-for-2023:
This market is framed exactly as asked by Matt.
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This should habe been resolved long ago. You may have misunderstood the blogpost. The prediction was about the Berlin senate elections on 12/02/2023 and Berlins former Red-Red-Green coalition has not been reelected. Kai Wegener (CDU) is the new major of Berlin and he's in a coalition with the SPD.
There has never been a Red-Red-Green federal government in Germany, so it can't be reelected.
@MaxTroet Theoretically, this could resolve YES if Yglesias resolves it incorrectly. 😉
@marketwise Okay, but the resolution "is clear", so we don't have to wait for him to make a mistake. 😂
@MaxTroet Yes, just fishing for someone to waste some Mana. 😁
@itsTomekK I agree this can be resolved.
@AndrewHartman If the resolution is clear, then I just resolve it. If it's not, I'd prefer to wait for Matt. How is it here?