American politics 2023: Hunter Biden indicted on federal charges?
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resolved Sep 14
Resolved
YES

This market is part of series of predictions made by Matthew Yglesias. Please check the group to bet on them all.


Matthew Yglesias is a liberal American blogger and journalist who writes about economics and politics. He publishes the Substack newsletter Slow Boring.

Recently he made many predictions on American politics events, published on
https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-predictions-for-2023:


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predicted NO

SORRY! Wrong resolved

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@itsTomekK @DavidChee can help you out!

predicted NO

Thanks!

@itsTomekK So been there!!! 🤣

predicted NO
predicted NO

Have I been indicted?

bought Ṁ4,000 of YES

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/hunter-biden-indicted-federal-gun-charges-rcna39623

Federal prosecutors have indicted Hunter Biden, son of President Joe Biden, on gun charges, court documents show. 

Biden was indicted Thursday in Delaware federal court on three counts tied to the possession of a gun while using narcotics.

Resolves YES

bought Ṁ1,000 of YES
bought Ṁ50 of YES

Special counsel David Weiss intends to indict Hunter Biden on gun charges by the end of the month, Department of Justice says

https://www.cnn.com/2023/09/06/politics/hunter-biden-gun-charges-indictment/index.html

bought Ṁ10 of YES

Special Counsel appointed by AG Garland. Which is very different than previous Special Prosecutor. At the very least it raises the base rates a bit.

bought Ṁ50 of NO

Since there will likely be an argument over words: the reports are that he is pleading guilty to felony charges. There hasn't been any report of an indictment, which requires a grand jury. Presumably he struck a deal with prosecutors before charges were brought before a grand jury to indict him.

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