(as of the most-updated NHTSA data)
This market is part of series of predictions made by Matthew Yglesias. Please check the group to bet on them all.
Matthew Yglesias is a liberal American blogger and journalist who writes about economics and politics. He publishes the Substack newsletter Slow Boring.
Recently he made many predictions on life in America, published on
https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-predictions-for-2023:
Jan 10, 2:51pm: Life in America 2023: Avatar: The increase in car crash deaths continues? → Life in America 2023: The increase in car crash deaths continues?
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Perhaps this market should remain open until the data is released? Considering "Early Estimate of Motor Vehicle Traffic Fatalities for the First 9 Months (January–September) of 2023" was released by NHTSA in December, the actual data probably won't be out for a few months at least.
https://www.nhtsa.gov/press-releases/nhtsa-traffic-fatalities-estimates-first-quarter-2023
This does not appear to have happened up to June: https://injuryfacts.nsc.org/motor-vehicle/overview/preliminary-monthly-estimates/