Annex = seizing land in Gaza unilaterally and indefinitely by building new Israeli controlled infrastructure.
This shouldn't resolve NA till the end of the year! Israel will or will not stay in the philadelphy corridor, which will mean de facto anexation or not.
Resolving N/A since the creator provided misleading and contradictory criteria. Sorry to all those who traded.
The market creator has been banned from Manifold. Perhaps the mods should clarify what resolution criteria will be used for resolving this market? (And maybe fix the title to match it?)
@UnspecifiedPerson The best action would probably be to resolve it N/A because there was to much confusion about the criteria.
I've created an alternative market with clearer resolution criteria: https://manifold.markets/UnspecifiedPerson/will-israel-annex-any-part-of-gaza-sp0tu9guZq
“There’s nothing left in Gaza to do. The major achievements have been achieved,” he was quoted saying. “I fear we are staying there just because there is a desire to stay there,” he added, potentially referring to Netanyahu’s stated insistence on absolute victory over Hamas, and possibly to far-right calls to occupy the Strip and create Israeli settlements.
Annex = seizing land from civilians in Gaza unilaterally and indefinitely by building new Israeli controlled infrastructure.
That's not annexation! If there is no formal and explicit incorporation of territory into a state’s sovereignty then it's not an annexation.
Building infrastructure does not make anything indefinite...
@datachef Neither Israel nor any other country claims that Gaza is part of Israel.
Can you explain what you think the difference between occupation and annexation is?
Because your definition (seizing land and building a base) seems more like occupation to me.
@datachef can you clarify this market pelase https://manifold.markets/datachef/will-israel-break-ground-on-a-settl - how is this one any different?
I recommend traders to avoid and exit this market until @datachef defines their resolution criteria clearly.
@datachef seems to imply that their own definition of annexation is different than the conventional one, while also not refusing to answer how they actually define it.
I will also note that @datachef is the largest trader and has bought a large "YES" stake. So alternatively, you can probably just buy a "YES" vote on this market and gain easy money.
@gpt4 Agreed, the supplied definition of "annex" does not actually imply what most people would think of as annexation (nor the land, such as east jerusalem, that israel claims to have annexed), and seems to describe the previous status quo ante in Gaza, which nobody described as annexation. The fact that the originator has a "yes" bet here with this kind of late-added definition is highly inappropriate.