Will Israel still have troops in the Gaza Strip at the end of 2025?
62
1kṀ10k
2026
93%
chance

  • Update 2025-20-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria:

    • The market will resolve NO if there is no IDF troop presence in the Gaza Strip on the last day of 2025.

    • A buffer zone within the Gaza Strip borders counts as troop presence.

    • Annexed territories within the Gaza Strip are still considered part of the Gaza Strip.

    • Troop presence along the Philadelphi Corridor or at the Rafah Crossing counts towards presence in the Gaza Strip.

    • Soldiers held hostage in Gaza do not constitute a YES outcome.

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