Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?
40
10kṀ21k
2026
12%
chance

From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:

I will resolve this according to the Metaculus resolution:
This question will resolve as Yes if, during calendar year 2025, Israel establishes a formal government in the Gaza Strip headed primarily by Israelis or otherwise takes formal control of key territory in the Gaza Strip.

Israel
Arab-Israeli Conflict
Israel-Hamas Conflict
Gaza
ACX 2025 Prediction Contest
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bought Ṁ24 YES

is an ongoing occupation ie parts of the WB counted?

@OKaya resolution is fully based on Metaculus resolution. You would have to ask there.

opened a Ṁ25,000 NO at 35% order

@Dynd wanna bet more?

@Robincvgr at 20% I’ll consider it

opened a Ṁ17,500 NO at 25% order

@Dynd 25%?

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