Will Israel annex any part of Gaza by the end of 2025?
46
1kṀ8096
2026
25%
chance

Will Israel annex any part of the Gaza strip by the end of 2025?

Annexation implies incorporating the area into its territory.

Any one of the following three conditions are sufficient for the area to be considered annexed:

  • An official Israeli government statement that the area is a sovereign part of Israel, and/or that the area has been annexed.

  • Application of full Israeli civilian law over the area.

  • Granting Israeli citizenship to the residents of the area and allowing Israelis to freely move between the area and Israel.

In case of ambiguity in judging any of these conditions, I will rely on whether most media sources refer to it as an annexation.

I will not bet on this market.

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