Will Israel attempt to free any living hostages in Gaza through a military operation before the end of 2025?
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This market will resolve as YES if:
Israel conducts a military operation with the explicit purpose of freeing living hostages in Gaza before December 31, 2025
The operation is reported by major news outlets (such as AP, Reuters, BBC, CNN, WSJ, New York Times, etc.) before the market closes
Update 2025-02-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Shooting Incidents:
Intent Requirement: An operation must be explicitly directed at freeing hostages. Merely shooting the hostages outside of such an operation does not qualify.
Collateral Impact: If hostages are shot during an operation whose explicit purpose is to free them, that incident still meets the resolution criteria.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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