Will a Starship orbital flight attempt occur in November 2023?
305
2.1kṀ170k
resolved Nov 18
Resolved
YES

Resolution criteria for what counts as an attempt adapted from this market.

For the purposes of this market the test doesn't have to be successful or even conclusive - a scrub is fine as long as it's clear that SpaceX was trying to do an orbital flight test.

I'll resolve YES if an official SpaceX social media channel puts up a livestream entitled "Starship Flight Test" or similar, which shows a live feed of a Starship–Super Heavy full stack vehicle and a countdown, for a flight trajectory that is intended to be orbital or near-orbital, NO if there is clearly no such livestream by market close, and N/A if it is ambiguous whether this has happened at market close.

The relevant timezone is the local time at the launch site.

/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-3ad8843e94db

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/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-890e74e896aa

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