Will a Starship orbital flight attempt occur in June 2023?
24
322
450
resolved Jul 1
Resolved
NO

Resolution criteria for what counts as an attempt adapted from this market.

For the purposes of this market the test doesn't have to be successful or even conclusive - a scrub is fine as long as it's clear that SpaceX was trying to do an orbital flight test.

I'll resolve YES if an official SpaceX social media channel puts up a livestream entitled "Starship Flight Test" or similar, which shows a live feed of a Starship–Super Heavy full stack vehicle and a countdown, for a flight trajectory that is intended to be orbital or near-orbital, NO if there is clearly no such livestream by market close, and N/A if it is ambiguous whether this has happened at market close.

The relevant timezone is the local time at the launch site.

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https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1662263704262680577

Major launchpad upgrades should be complete in about a month, then another month of rocket testing on pad, then flight 2 of Starship

27 May 2023

Elon time so August to Dec?