Will a Starship orbital flight test occur by the end of November?
26
540Ṁ3884
resolved Dec 1
Resolved
NO

Elon Musk says it "seems highly likely".

For the purposes of this market the test doesn't have to be successful or even conclusive - a scrub is fine as long as it's clear that SpaceX was trying to do an orbital flight test.

Edit: To add a more objective criterion, I'll resolve YES if an official SpaceX social media channel puts up a livestream entitled "Starship Orbital Flight Test", "Starship Orbital Launch", or similar, which shows a live feed of Starship and a countdown, NO if there is clearly no such livestream by market close, and N/A if it is ambiguous whether this has happened at market close.

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