Will I be surprised by a new release in AI technology this year?
23
67
Ṁ672Ṁ430
2025
68%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The last two times this happened:
1) Release of Chat GPT
2) Sora announcement
This is a purely subjective market and I will definitely not be making any bets in it.
AI Markets I've bet against:
https://manifold.markets/benshindel/will-this-yudkowsky-tweet-on-ai-bab
https://manifold.markets/CDBiddulph/will-a-video-game-with-airendered-g-2e37a190fefe
https://manifold.markets/Jacy/will-ai-generate-a-decent-commercia
AI markets I've bet for:
https://manifold.markets/PlasmaBallin/is-openais-q-real
Get Ṁ200 play money
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