Will Microsoft's new AI research team release any new product by EOY 2024?
22
267
505
Dec 31
32%
chance

For a positive resolution, the product needs to:

  • Be new, not an iteration of a previous Microsoft product such as Bing Chat.

  • Be publicly available for use by anyone.

  • The creation of this product needs to be primarily attributed to this new research team, either by the leadership of the team itself or by Microsoft leadership.

Since it might be a judgment call, I will not trade in this market.

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