The Suwałki Gap is a short strip of land that separates the Baltics from the rest of NATO, stretching from Kaliningrad to Belarus.
In the event of a conflict between NATO, Russia might attempt to close the Suwałki Gap to isolate the Baltics.
Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before 2030?
See this question but for other years:
/cash/will-russia-attempt-to-militarily-s (this question)
See also:
1,000The community prediction on Metaculus for a related question ("Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?") is currently 4% (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/8786/russian-annexation-in-the-baltics-before-2035/).
Perun published a YouTube video on Baltic defence strategy, including a discussion of the Suwałki Gap and whether it would be targeted in the event of a Russian attack.