Will Russia launch a military invasion of a NATO country by 2033? | Manifold

Will Russia launch a military invasion of a NATO country by 2033?

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Which country will Russia invade? @ukaszBartoszcze

bought Ṁ24 YES

@LeonardoKr that's a different question from the one here :)

@ukaszBartoszcze oh it is. But anyone betting yes here must have at least a probability distribution regarding which of the member states will be invaded as there is no country named nato :)

@LeonardoKr The most likely scenario I see is ł: ceasefire, Ukraine joins NATO, Ukraine gets attacked again

bought Ṁ5 YES

@ukaszBartoszcze I am pretty sure that is why Russia decided not to ceasefire.

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Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?

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Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?

Will Ukraine join NATO by 2033?

Will Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030?

Will Russia be invaded by foreign troops [>10000] before 2060?

Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2030?

Will Russia be invaded by foreign troops (other than Ukrainian, >10000) before 2060?

Related questions

Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?

Will Russia launch a military invasion of Kazakhstan by 2033?

Will Russia launch a military attack against Poland by the end of 2039?

If there is Russia-NATO war by 2030, which NATO country gets invaded the first?

Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?

Will Ukraine join NATO by 2033?

Will Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030?

Will Russia be invaded by foreign troops [>10000] before 2060?

Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2030?

Will Russia be invaded by foreign troops (other than Ukrainian, >10000) before 2060?

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