
Will Russia launch a military invasion of a NATO country by 2033?
52
1kṀ13k2033
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@ukaszBartoszcze oh it is. But anyone betting yes here must have at least a probability distribution regarding which of the member states will be invaded as there is no country named nato :)
@LeonardoKr The most likely scenario I see is ł: ceasefire, Ukraine joins NATO, Ukraine gets attacked again
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Russian Federation invade a NATO country before 2028?
16% chance
Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2030?
32% chance
Will Russia launch a military attack against Poland by the end of 2039?
15% chance
Will Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026?
7% chance
Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?
35% chance
Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2026?
5% chance
Will Russia attack NATO before 2034?
32% chance
If there is Russia-NATO war by 2030, which NATO country gets invaded the first?
Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
54% chance
Will Russia launch a military invasion of Kazakhstan by 2033?
16% chance