Will Russia launch a military invasion of a NATO country by 2033?
Plus
46
Ṁ10k2033
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@ukaszBartoszcze oh it is. But anyone betting yes here must have at least a probability distribution regarding which of the member states will be invaded as there is no country named nato :)
@LeonardoKr The most likely scenario I see is ł: ceasefire, Ukraine joins NATO, Ukraine gets attacked again
Related questions
Related questions
Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
47% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO by 2033?
43% chance
Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2030?
14% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO by 2030?
26% chance
Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?
22% chance
Will the Russian Federation invade a NATO country before 2028?
17% chance
If there is Russia-NATO war by 2030, which NATO country gets invaded the first?
Will Russia launch a military invasion of Kazakhstan by 2033?
16% chance
Will Russia attack NATO before 2034?
10% chance
Will Russia launch an armed attack against a NATO member by the end of November 2024?
2% chance