
Will Russia launch a military invasion of a NATO country by 2033?
64
1kṀ17k2033
36%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will Russia launch a military invasion of Kazakhstan by 2033?
24% chance
Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
44% chance
If there is Russia-NATO war by 2030, which NATO country gets invaded the first?
Will Russia enter NATO by 2040
10% chance
Will Russia launch a military attack against Poland by the end of 2039?
16% chance
Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?
30% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2030?
7% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO by 2033?
33% chance
Will Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030?
32% chance
Will Russia join NATO before 2050?
12% chance
Sort by:
@ukaszBartoszcze oh it is. But anyone betting yes here must have at least a probability distribution regarding which of the member states will be invaded as there is no country named nato :)
@LeonardoKr The most likely scenario I see is ł: ceasefire, Ukraine joins NATO, Ukraine gets attacked again
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Russia launch a military invasion of Kazakhstan by 2033?
24% chance
Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
44% chance
If there is Russia-NATO war by 2030, which NATO country gets invaded the first?
Will Russia enter NATO by 2040
10% chance
Will Russia launch a military attack against Poland by the end of 2039?
16% chance
Will Russia launch an invasion against at least one of the Baltic states by February 2029?
30% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2030?
7% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO by 2033?
33% chance
Will Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030?
32% chance
Will Russia join NATO before 2050?
12% chance