Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before the end of 2026?
6
100Ṁ2712026
11%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The Suwałki Gap is a short strip of land that separates the Baltics from the rest of NATO, stretching from Kaliningrad to Belarus.
In the event of a conflict between NATO, Russia might attempt to close the Suwałki Gap to isolate the Baltics.
Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before the end of 2026?
See this question but for other years:
/cash/will-russia-attempt-to-militarily-s-9hSRCtI0hC (this question)
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before the end of 2027?
20% chance
Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before 2030?
19% chance
Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before the end of 2028?
20% chance
Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before the end of 2026?
11% chance
Russian/Byelorussian forces act in Suwalki Gap before 2026?
9% chance
Will there be an attempt of a large-scale Russian offensive by 2026?
80% chance
Will Russian forces capture Pokrovsk by 2026?
40% chance
Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2026?
5% chance
Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before the end of 2025?
6% chance