Source: I will use the "Domestic Opening" listed on BoxOfficeMojo, however it is defined. This market will resolve to the first movie to release whose listed "Domestic Opening" is >$100,000,000.
For example, the most recent movie to break $100 million was Barbie, which lists $162,022,044. That is the equivalent number that I'll use to resolve this market.
For reference, in 2023, five movies had >$100 million opening weekends. Barbie, The Super Mario Bros Movie, Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3, & Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania.
This market will resolve to a single movie—the first to pass that threshold.
You can split new options out of the "Other" category, so this should always resolve to exactly one movie.
(If somehow two movies break $100mil on the same weekend—which won't happen—I will tiebreak using the higher gross).
If any aspects of the resolution criteria are unclear, please ask.
While the weekend's actuals aren't technically up on boxofficemojo yet (give it a ~day), it will open well below $100M, and thus this market cannot resolve YES to "Dune: Part Two". (Unfortunately, in dependent MC I can't resolve this option early).
This should be extremely clear from the description, but to be certain, I’ll repeat that this market can only resolve to a movie that crosses the 100M threshold on its opening weekend (it doesn’t count if it just crosses 100M eventually, nor is it about being “the fastest to reach 100M”).
E.g. this won’t resolve to “Dune: Part Two” unless the “>100M” option in this market to predict the opening weekend resolves YES.