How much will "Dune: Part Two" (2024) gross during its domestic opening weekend?
1.5k
resolved Mar 5
Resolved
YES
Over $60 million
Resolved
YES
Over $70 million
Resolved
YES
Over $80 million
Resolved
NO
Over $90 million
Resolved
NO
Over $100 million

These markets will resolve using the "Domestic Opening" number listed on BoxOfficeMojo https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/.

  • I will use the "Domestic Opening" listed on BoxOfficeMojo, however it is defined. For a concrete example, the "Domestic Opening" for the original "Dune" would have been $41,011,174.

  • For context, AFAIK, typically that "Domestic Opening" number is the 3-day total (plus Thursday/other "previews") for North America (e.g. it wouldn't include a holiday Monday). But that's just my informal understanding, not a rule for resolution—I will use their "Domestic Opening", however they calculate it.

  • These markets are independent—any number of them can resolve YES. I may add additional markets (above, below, or in between), but this has no impact on the current markets.

  • If somehow "Dune: Part Two" is delayed again (which I can't imagine it will), I'll update the resolution date.

  • If any aspects of resolution are unclear, just ask.

For more of my "Dune: Part Two" markets, check out this dashboard

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If this was fun, here's a market for whether DUNE can repeat at #1 next weekend. (I'll make a separate market for its box office over/under tomorrow)

bought Ṁ750 Over $80 million YES

The actuals are in. "Over 80 million" and below resolve YES. "Over 90 million" and above resolve NO.

Dune: Part Two is headed for an excellent $81.5-million opening weekend, according to Warner Bros.’ Sunday-morning projection

https://www.the-numbers.com/news/256370830-Weekend-projections-Dune-hits-pay-dirt-with-81-5-million-debut

Related markets! Guess how long it will take for "Dune: Part Two" to pass $200 million domestic =).

Market: Will it pass $200 million domestic by March 14th?

Market: Will it pass $200 million domestic by March 17th?

Related market: