State Ownership Status
Alabama - No Owner
Alaska - No Owner
Arizona - No Owner
Arkansas - No Owner
California - MTNRODE (@Ernie)
Colorado - No Owner
Connecticut - No Owner
Delaware - No Owner
Florida - No Owner
Georgia - No Owner
Hawaii - No Owner
Idaho - No Owner
Illinois - No Owner
Indiana - No Owner
Iowa - No Owner
Kansas - No Owner
Kentucky - No Owner
Louisiana - No Owner
Maine - No Owner
Maryland - No Owner
Massachusetts - YNGWIE (@kenmichaels)
Michigan - No Owner
Minnesota - No Owner
Mississippi - SNOB (@shankypanky)
Missouri - No Owner
Montana - No Owner
Nebraska - No Owner
Nevada - 4GZ (@Ernie)
New Hampshire - No Owner
New Jersey - No Owner
New Mexico - No Owner
New York - No Owner
North Carolina - No Owner
North Dakota - No Owner
Ohio - No Owner
Oklahoma - No Owner
Oregon - No Owner
Pennsylvania - No Owner
Rhode Island - No Owner
South Carolina - No Owner
South Dakota - No Owner
Tennessee - No Owner
Texas - No Owner
Utah - No Owner
Vermont - No Owner
Virginia - GS GIRL (@dglid)
Washington - TEAM UP (@shankypanky)
Washington DC - No Owner
West Virginia - No Owner
Wisconsin - No Owner
Wyoming - No Owner
Competition Rules
Manifold users compete to take pictures in the wild of vanity plates that they come across
Pictures have to be an in-person sighting and have to come from the user after this start of this competition (4/24/2024)
Don't cheat
Don't do anything illegal
No plates that have already been submitted lol
Any user may enter the competition by adding their username to this question
When a user posts a picture with a vanity plate, they have the opportunity to "capture" the state that the plate is from
If there is No Owner of a state, the user will gain control of the state
If there is already an Owner of the state. then the new vanity plate will "contest" with the old one for control of the state
I will run a new kernel of ChatGPT-3.5 (may switch to 4.0) and ask it: "Which of the following vanity license plates best describes the US state of [STATE], [CURRENT PLATE] or [CHALLENGER PLATE]?"
If the challenger plate is picked by AI, then the user (and plate) will take over control of the state
AI conversation will be posted, I will try to follow up without bias if I am not given a straight answer right away by it
A winner will be declared either after one user controls 26 or more states or at the close date of this market (right now 1/1/2025 but could change)
Payouts (subject to change)
M1000 to first place
M500 to second place (2nd most currently captured states at competition close)
M250 to third place
M10 any time a competitor attempts a capture
M10 any time a competitor successfully captures
M10 to each user for each state they own at the end of the month
I will try to resolve all captures timely and by the end of the month
Potentially more bonuses in the future for held "sets" of states or other accomplishments
Note with the potential change to Managrams, I'm going to try to find a different way to pay out!
Feel free to ask any clarifying questions! Happy plate hunting!!!
Derivative Markets
Related questions
@Ernie on the board first with California - MTNRODE
https://manifold.markets/StopPunting/vanity-license-plate-race-and-bount#dszcqlvb2mn