Which slogans will be emblazoned on Manifold swag in H1 2024?
Basic
51
45k
resolved Jul 2
Resolved
YES
Prediction markets: They freaking work
Resolved
YES
mana: it's what's for breakfast
Resolved
YES
[logo]
Resolved
YES
Not a slogan: The calibration shirt James was wearing at Manifest
Resolved
NO
Folding @ Home
Resolved
NO
Predicting the future
Resolved
NO
Stand back! I'm going to try prediction markets!
Resolved
NO
I will put a probability on literally anything for 50ct
Resolved
NO
not crypto
Resolved
NO
Profit from your priors
Resolved
NO
Keep calm and fold / keep calm and predict
Resolved
NO
Mana or moot
Resolved
NO
Yes / no?
Resolved
NO
Willing to bet on it?
Resolved
NO
Rich in spirit not in mana
Resolved
NO
Find your statistically significant other
Resolved
NO
Seize the means of prediction
Resolved
NO
welcome to the fold
Resolved
NO
poor in mana rich in spirit
Resolved
NO
Always tell me the odds

Check out what's already available on shop.manifold.markets!

We will mail you a free shirt/swag item if we use your suggestion! (dm @baraki to claim). Please refrain from adding close variants of existing options.

Edit: covers first-party Manifold, Inc. swag or swag produced by this project.

Get Ṁ600 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ241
2Ṁ210
3Ṁ115
4Ṁ107
5Ṁ57
Sort by:

so what about the remaining two? i have no idea

there was a calibration chart shirt floating around at Manifest but idk if it's the same as the one the option refers to, or if it was a fresh print this year - @JamesGrugett @Gen can confirm?

They were printed for last year -- the "Prediction markets freaking work" shirts that had the calibration chart!

got it - so the last two are a no, right?

I mean, we sold that swag this year, so I would have guessed Yes for the James' calibration shirt answer. But Well calibrated is definitely a no.

hm I would have interpreted the market as swag made this year and sold, rather than leftover merch brought to the event only

Whatever you think! Also, this should probably resolve the same as the Prediction markets: they freaking work answer.

[logo]

I mean I don't see it in the swag store, but at Manifest they definitely had some stuff involving the logo, which is why I assume this is YES.

the manifest swag didn't seem to have anything with calibration though, from what I remember . (just case's cool shirt showing market graphs)

@mods please ty

@mods can you handle this one pls ty

Is new merch happening? I took this market as evidence there would be merch in 1H24...

So I’d imagine that any shirts from manifest would count (EV case designed a really neat one with market probability graphs, and I think there were some other simple designs).

But this market was made a while ago, and Barak hasn’t been affiliated with the site for a while, so I wouldn’t see it as proof of new merch coming soon

Can someone please make some more merch? lol... take my money! I want better Manifold shirts

@benshindel not too late to shirk your responsibilities and come to Manifest, you know (there will be shirts 🙂)

@shankypanky June 7-9, 2024 is a weekend designed by the AI gods with the prompt "weekend in which every single thing in Ben's life is trying to tempt him to travel to various places but he cannot"

@benshindel p(doom) rising

@benshindel p(merch) falling

so is this still happening? or NA @Joshua

@strutheo haven't some of these already resolved YES?

bought Ṁ2,000 Prediction markets: ... YES

creates all the lowest % ones so u can buy those options YES and make way better returns /s

BayesianboughtṀ2,000Prediction markets: ... YES

@Bayesian you squeezed right in there

sold Ṁ3 [logo] NO

@barak Is the market meant to close in an hour? H1 stands for first half of 2024 right

@Bayesian yes, thanks, fixed

this would be SO COOL but can anyone actually print one-offs for reasonable price/quality

(now i'm wondering whether it's possible to like...cross-stitch something like this)

@goblinodds yes, we can do it. Gelato allows for customizable shirts. Gonna try to set this up soon, it's actually easier than the custom calibration, which is easy as well but requires css changes to work well

@baraki oh SERIOUSLY?? sick
i guess in that case people will probably want to stick to linking to longer-term markets