If Trump is convicted of a felony, the timer starts at whatever datetime CBS posts the verdict:
<time class="post-update__time-ago" datetime="2024-04-25T12:33:10-0400"> 12:33 PM </time><h2 class="post-update__headline">Why Pecker refused to pay for Stormy Daniels' story</h2>
Other news sources that provide to-the-second timestamps may be proposed and added to the resolution criteria, and whichever is earliest determines the outcome.
The timer ends when Trump's Wikipedia article is updated to call him a "felon" or say that he was "convicted of a felony", using the edit's data-timestamp:
data-timestamp="2024-03-27T20:55:50Z">
If he is not convicted, the bet resolves N/A.
Related questions
@Kolyin No, vandalism does not count. :) It has to be after some news source breaks the news. (Currently just CBS because that's the only one I found with second timestamps, but I can add others by suggestion.)
@Snarflak So what happens if someone updates the WP page as soon as the jury starts to read their verdict--therefore just assuming it's going to be guilty--and no one reverts it before CBS reports the actual guilty verdict?
I don't mean to be a pest, I'm just curious. This is a neat market.
@Kolyin If it is inserted as vandalism and not reverted after the actual announcement, that would resolve N/A, I guess.