Will Donald Trump be elected president after having been convicted of at least one Federal charge?
Basic
6
Ṁ113Jan 31
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if both of the following occur, in order and before Feb 1 2025:
1) Donald J Trump is convicted (found guilty) on any Federal charge
2) Donald J Trump is certified as having won a Federal Presidential Election
Otherwise, resolves NO. I will immediately resolve No if it becomes clear that the given events are no longer possible.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Donald Trump be elected president after having been convicted of at least one Federal charge?
16% chance
Will Donald Trump be found guilty on one or more of the 2020 Election Result federal charges?
31% chance
Will Trump be convicted in his DC case?
46% chance
Will Trump be Convicted, if his January 6th Trial begins before the election?
Will Donald Trump be convicted on one or more counts in the classified documents case?
72% chance
Will Trump get sentenced for any of the 34 felonies he was found guilty of before January 20, 2025?
32% chance
Will Trump be disqualified AFTER being elected?
5% chance
Will any Trump be elected President before any Trump goes to jail?
94% chance
Will Donald Trump win the presidency from prison?
1% chance