Within 6 months of Trump being convicted of any crime, will his favorability drop below 35%?
11
220Ṁ1458resolved Dec 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve based on this page on 538
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/
If this page shows a favorability below 35.0 on any day in the six months following his first conviction, this market will resolve YES.
If he is found not-guilty in all of the cases he is currently indicted for, this will resolve N/A.
Favorability on May 30 (day of guilty verdict) is 41.6%
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ46 | |
| 2 | Ṁ41 | |
| 3 | Ṁ40 | |
| 4 | Ṁ24 | |
| 5 | Ṁ16 |
People are also trading
Related questions
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
60% chance
Will Trump's approval rating fall below 40% in 2025?
68% chance
When will President Trump's approval rating go below 38%?
Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
38% chance
Will Trump's net approval rating be under -5% on Sept 30th?
84% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
28% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
4% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?
5% chance
Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 70% before his death?
48% chance
Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?
8% chance