Within 6 months of Trump being convicted of any crime, will his favorability drop below 35%?
Basic
11
Ṁ1458resolved Dec 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve based on this page on 538
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/
If this page shows a favorability below 35.0 on any day in the six months following his first conviction, this market will resolve YES.
If he is found not-guilty in all of the cases he is currently indicted for, this will resolve N/A.
Favorability on May 30 (day of guilty verdict) is 41.6%
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Donald Trump's favorability rating 50% or higher on Jan 20th?
22% chance
What will be Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans at the beginning of 2025? [resolves to percentage]
64% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
25% chance
Will Trump have a higher approval rating than 40% as of February 20, 2025?
84% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
50% chance
Will Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans go below 70% before his death?
47% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
33% chance
When will President Trump's approval rating go below 38%?
Will Trump ever have a net positive approval rating? (Read Description)
51% chance
Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
35% chance