Within 6 months of Trump being convicted of any crime, will his favorability drop below 35%?
11
220Ṁ1458resolved Dec 1
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This will resolve based on this page on 538
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/
If this page shows a favorability below 35.0 on any day in the six months following his first conviction, this market will resolve YES.
If he is found not-guilty in all of the cases he is currently indicted for, this will resolve N/A.
Favorability on May 30 (day of guilty verdict) is 41.6%
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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