Conditional on Trump being convicted of any crime in any jurisdiction, in what year is the first such instance? | Manifold

Conditional on Trump being convicted of any crime in any jurisdiction, in what year is the first such instance?

Basic

14

Ṁ410

2039

2024

expected

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves to YEAR + (DAY - 1) / length(YEAR)

For clarity, this will resolve several weeks into the new year, just in case

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#🇺🇸 US Politics

#Republican Party

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

#Trump indictment(s)

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@LivInTheLookingGlass this can resolve

I assume this resolves ambiguously if he never gets convicted?

@Kronopath Pretty much. If he doesn't, resolves N/A. I have other markets which would resolve to MAX, but that seemed inappropriate here

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