2
14
Ṁ115Ṁ225
2026
1D
1W
1M
ALL
11%
Before July 2024
20%
Before October 2024
24%
Before January 2025
66%
Before July 2025
72%
Before January 2026
Resolves YES if an Electron rocket launches with a booster that Rocket Lab states has flown before (regardless of amount of refurbishment required)
Launch is defined as lifting off from the pad under its own thrust
The launch is not required to be successful
Answers resolve NO as the dates are reached, and all remaining answers resolve YES once a launch that meets the criteria occurs; more answers may be added based on trading
UTC is used for dates
Please ask if you want anything clarified
Related markets:
Get Ṁ600 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will SpaceX successfully catch a booster within the first five Starship flights?
15% chance
By when will SpaceX re-fly a Super Heavy booster, as part of a space-bound flight
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship?
When will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight?
Will a reusable orbital rocket booster be re-flown by a company other than SpaceX before 2025?
32% chance
Will Rocket Lab have successfully reflown an Electron Booster before 2026?
63% chance
When will a Starship booster first relaunch in under 24hrs?
Will an organization besides SpaceX successfully develop a resuable orbital rocket booster launch system by end of 2026?
65% chance
Will the Starship successfully execute a controlled re-entry during its fourth flight test?
73% chance
When will a Starship booster first land and relaunch without being removed from the launch tower?