Will Rocket Lab have successfully reflown an Electron Booster before 2026?
Mini
7
108
2025
65%
chance

Resolves YES if an Electron successfully* launches with a booster that Rocket Lab states has flown before (regardless of amount of refurbishment required)

*Launch is considered successful if it is listed as such on the Next Spaceflight launch manifest

Resolves NO if Rocket Lab state they have given up on reuse of Electron, if Electron is retired, or if no reuses have occurred by the end of 2025

Time zone used is UTC

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/Nat/when-will-rocket-lab-first-attempt

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Good news for reuse!

@Nat Have made a related market in light of the above tweet:

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