Will Rocket Lab have successfully reflown an Electron Booster before 2026?
Plus
10
Ṁ1872025
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if an Electron successfully* launches with a booster that Rocket Lab states has flown before (regardless of amount of refurbishment required)
*Launch is considered successful if it is listed as such on the Next Spaceflight launch manifest
Resolves NO if Rocket Lab state they have given up on reuse of Electron, if Electron is retired, or if no reuses have occurred by the end of 2025
Time zone used is UTC
Related markets:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster?
When will rocket lab first attempt to re-fly an Electron booster? #Recovery-and-reuse
Will RocketLab have at least 16 orbital launches in 2024?
65% chance
When will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight?
Will an organization besides SpaceX successfully develop a resuable orbital rocket booster launch system by end of 2026?
56% chance
How many times will Electron launch this year?
Will Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket fly 50 times before 2030?
35% chance
Will Rocketlab perform a static fire test of their new Neutron rocket by the end of 2024?
15% chance
Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032?
27% chance
Will Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026?
33% chance