Basic
12
Ṁ1.1k2027
1D
1W
1M
ALL
6%
Before Jan 1, 2025
11%
Before July 1, 2025
53%
Before Jan 1, 2026
66%
Before July 1, 2026
86%
Before Jan 1, 2027
19%
2027 or later
As of March 19 2024, Rocket Lab is publicly targeting a launch in 2024.
As of May 2024, Rocket Lab is now targeting 2025.
Answers will resolve as YES if Neutron lifts off and clears the pad before the respective dates given. A successful remainder of the flight is not necessary. The flight does not need to be on an orbital trajectory.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
When will New Glenn launch for the first time?
Will Rocketlab perform a static fire test of their new Neutron rocket by the end of 2024?
19% chance
Will Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket fly 50 times before 2030?
35% chance
When will Rocket Lab's Neutron first reach orbit?
When will rocket lab first attempt to re-fly an Electron booster? #Recovery-and-reuse
What's the furthest milestone we'll see Rocket Lab achieve with their Neutron rocket? (Everyday Astronaut 2024)
Will Rocket Lab have successfully reflown an Electron Booster before 2026?
68% chance
When will Starship first launch with useful payload?
By when will Starliner-1 launch?
Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?