Will Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket fly 50 times before 2030?
Basic
2
Ṁ212029
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is essentially designed to capture 'will Neutron be succesful?
Any Neutron that takes off (no launch tower) will count as a flight (I am not too concerned that there could be 50 failures!)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
When will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight?
How many times will SLS launch before 2035
Will RocketLab have at least 16 orbital launches in 2024?
65% chance
Will Rocketlab perform a static fire test of their new Neutron rocket by the end of 2024?
15% chance
Will Rocket Lab have successfully reflown an Electron Booster before 2026?
70% chance
Will Starship launch one hundred times by 2030?
76% chance
Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?
29% chance
What's the furthest milestone we'll see Rocket Lab achieve with their Neutron rocket? (Everyday Astronaut 2024)
How many times will New Glenn launch in 2025?
Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032?
27% chance