When will Rocket Lab Neutron launch for the first time?
15
Ṁ1kṀ8.7kDec 31
39%
Before 2026-04-01
71%
Before 2026-07-01
80%
Before 2026-10-01
84%
Before 2027-01-01
Resolved
NOBefore 2025-07-01
Resolved
NOBefore 2025-10-01
Resolved
NOBefore 2026-01-01
Neutron is a partially reusable medium-lift two-stage rocket being developed by Rocket Lab. It has been scheduled to launch in 2025, but might slip to the further date.
This market will be resolved when Neutron rocket launches for the first time. For the purposes of this question, "launch" should involve the countdown reaching 0 and the rocket leaving the pad. I.e. Astra sideways launch would count, but an explosion right on the pad wouldn't.
I do not bet on my own markets.
If there is sufficient interest in this market, I'll add further markets about other milestones for Rocket Lab rockets.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
When will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight?
When will Rocket Lab's Neutron first reach orbit?
When will Relativity's Terran R rocket Launch
11/4/27
What payloads will the first paid Rocket Lab Neutron launch carry?
What % Change will RKLB (Rocketlab) Stock Value Have After NEUTRON Launches for the first time?
45% chance
Will Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket fly 50 times before 2030?
27% chance
When will rocket lab first attempt to re-fly an Electron booster? #Recovery-and-reuse
By when will Starliner-1 launch?
Which rocket will launch from Earth with humans on board first?
When will New Glenn 9x4 reach orbit for the first time?