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Which rocket will reach orbit and deploy a meaningful payload first (not just a mass simulator)? Everyday Astronaut 2024
Basic
6
Ṁ5465resolved Jan 8
100%99.9%
Vulcan
0.0%
Starship
0.0%
New Glenn
0.0%
Ariane 6
This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.
If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.
See the full set of markets on this dashboard.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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