Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
By when will the first non-traditional launch of an orbital payload happen?
1
แน€1kแน€450
2050
72%
2050-12-31
50%
2040-12-31
34%
2035-12-31
24%
2032-12-31

Space elevators, launch loops, mass drivers, spin launch, whatever. Anything that gets at least 1/3 of its delta-V from something not a rocket counts. From the surface of the Earth, Moon, Mars, or anything else with at least the Moon's escape velocity, to orbit or escape. Payload must survive enough to transmit from orbit or do something useful.

Market context
Get
แน€1,000
to start trading!