Which rocket will launch from Earth with humans on board first?
20
1kṀ4312
2032
54%
Starship
5%
Vulcan
39%
New Glenn
1.3%
None will ever launch with humans

Market resolves once one of these launches with humans on board. Launch doesn't have to be successful. Launch doesn't have to be orbital (point-to-point counts). Launch does have to be the full stack (only second stage of Starship doesn't count)

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