How long will “indefinite extension” US x Iran ceasefire hold? (Weeks)
3
Ṁ1kṀ230Dec 31
76%
3 weeks+ (May 12th)
69%
3.5 weeks+
55%
4 weeks+
55%
5 weeks+
55%
6 weeks+
55%
4.5 weeks+
55%
5.5 weeks+
55%
6.5 weeks+
50%
7 weeks+
50%
7.5 weeks+
Counting from the time of this post as starting time, 4/21 1:09 pst. If the war does not restart by 4/23 1:09 PST then more than 2 days resolved YES
Update 2026-05-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): 0.5 weeks is measured as 3 full days and 12 hours.
Update 2026-05-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The dates/times for each option are listed in PST.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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