I'd be interested in what traders think the Executive would use as legal justification to extending the conflict if Congress is against it (assuming we get to that). I'm hoping some of you will suggest new options for that.
All options that require the war to surpass the 60 days resolve NO if it doesn't.
In theory, this resolves early May, giving us a few extra months in case of shenanigans.
I will not trade in this market.
Update 2026-05-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will wait ~30 days after the 60-day War Powers Resolution period ends before resolving, to account for ongoing uncertainty and potential restart of strikes.
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@hidetzugu I now realize this might have happened and it might take a while for us to know about it (until some court marshal or something)... I'll leave it open until the end of the year and resolve it then
@hidetzugu though the white house as not specifically said "this gives us 60 days more", the rebranding of "Operation Epic Fury" into "Project Freedom" goes to the spirit of this question
@DanzoAlerantos as in an Authorization for Use of Military Force Against the Islamic Republic of Iran