MANIFOLD
What happens to the USA-Iran war when the 60 days War Powers Resolution end?
1
Ṁ175Ṁ25
Dec 31
59%
Trump continues in defiance of Congress (unspecified how)
59%
Trump starts a new operation and claims he has 60 days more
59%
Trump requests the 30 days withdraw extension in the War Powers Resolution, but uses it to attack instead
50%
Congress issues a war declaration
50%
Congress passes a law extending the authorization
50%
A military commander refuses an attack order on the basis it is now unlawful
34%
War ends before April 29 (<60 days from the start of the war)

I'd be interested in what traders think the Executive would use as legal justification to extending the conflict if Congress is against it (assuming we get to that). I'm hoping some of you will suggest new options for that.

All options that require the war to surpass the 60 days resolve NO if it doesn't.

In theory, this resolves early May, giving us a few extra months in case of shenanigans.


I will not trade in this market.

Market context
Iran
Wars
US Politics
Trump
U.S. Congress
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bought Ṁ5 YES

Clockwork trump, wind him up and watch him go.

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