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MANIFOLD
Iran ceasefire continues through? [polymarket]
24
Ṁ1kṀ31k
resolved Jun 11
Resolved
YES
May 24th
Resolved
NO
May 27th
Resolved
NO
May 31st
Resolved
NO
June 7th
Resolved
NO
June 15th
Resolved
NO
June 30th
Resolved
NO
July 31st
Resolved
NO
December 31st
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@Mochi May 24th has resolved yes on polymarket

sold Ṁ71 NO

An indefinite extension only holds until a formal treaty is signed or a new spark triggers airstrikes. Which of these major pivot points breaks the standoff first?

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