This market resolves YES if Hindalco Industries's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 (January 1 – December 31, 2027) exceeds 1.4 million tonnes.

Settlement is May 31, 2028 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2027 monthly print are well-published before resolution.

Context. Hindalco Industries is India's largest primary aluminum producer (Aditya Birla Group). FY24 (Apr 2023 – Mar 2024) production was a record 1.34 Mt with brownfield expansion underway at Aditya and Mahan smelters. The 1.4 Mt strike for calendar 2027 reflects gradual ramp; calendar-year resolution requires summing four quarterly press releases that span FY27 Q4 + FY28 Q1–Q3.

Resolution sources (priority order):

Hindalco Industries quarterly results and integrated annual report https://www.hindalco.com/investors/financials

Hindalco quarterly press releases https://www.hindalco.com/media/press-releases

International Aluminium Institute (IAI) primary aluminum statistics https://international-aluminium.org/statistics/primary-aluminium-production/

Reuters / Bloomberg / Argus aluminum coverage for cross-validation

Related markets — upstream aluminum supply chain (also live on Manifold):

Guinea bauxite exports for calendar year 2027 → https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-guineas-bauxite-exports-for-th

China alumina production for calendar year 2027 → https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-chinas-alumina-production-for

Indonesia commissioned alumina refinery capacity (Dec 31, 2027) → https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-indonesias-commissioned-alumin

Indonesia primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 → https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-indonesias-primary-aluminum-pr

Related markets — other major producers, calendar year 2027:

Alcoa Corporation → https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-alcoa-corporations-primary-alu

Century Aluminum → https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-century-aluminums-primary-alum

Aluminum Corporation of China (Chalco) → https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-chalcos-primary-aluminum-produ

Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA) → https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-emirates-global-aluminium-egas

China Hongqiao Group → https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-china-hongqiao-groups-primary

Norsk Hydro → https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-norsk-hydros-primary-aluminum

Rio Tinto → https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-rio-tintos-primary-aluminum-pr

UC Rusal → https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-uc-rusals-primary-aluminum-pro

Vedanta Aluminium → https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-vedanta-aluminium-vedanta-limi

Related markets — same producer, other calendar year:

Hindalco Industries primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 → https://manifold.markets/MikhailTal/will-hindalco-industriess-primary-a-lChz09NIuE