Who will succeed Humza Yousaf as First Minister of Scotland?
10
230
1.1k
resolved May 8
100%99.5%
John Swinney
0.0%
Shona Robison
0.1%
Anas Sarwar
0.1%
Angus Robertson
0.0%
Douglas Ross
0.0%
Kate Forbes
0.0%
Jenny Gilruth
0.0%
Stephen Flynn
0.0%
Ash Regan
0.1%
Neil Gray
0.1%Other

Who will be the next person confirmed by the Scottish Parliament as First Minister who is not Humza Yousaf?

I will not bet on this market.

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Swinney hasn't been confirmed by Parliament yet as the new FM. It seems highly likely that he will be soon though.

John Swinney
opened a Ṁ10 John Swinney YES at 50% order

Seems like a good candidate, but 80% seems a bit high when he hasn't even confirmed that he'll run. Or have I missed the news?

bought Ṁ2 Kate Forbes YES

@Fion I've changed my mind. He says he's seriously considering it, and lots of senior figures have come out to support him. I guess he's just waiting to make sure he has enough support before running, maybe having conversations with Kate Forbes to try and avoid a contest.

(On that note:

)

Given how many of the attacks on Yousaf were based on competence, having a very experienced leader seems like a good thing for the party. And the Greens like him much better than Forbes so he'll have an easier time working with parliament.