Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will Humza Yousaf remain First Minister of Scotland longer than Rishi Sunak remains Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
41
Ṁ1kṀ15k
resolved May 29
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if Sunak leaves office before Yousaf. Resolves NO otherwise. Leaving office on the same day will be N/A. Date of resignation taking effect is relevant; announcement of resignation (to take effect later) is not.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ414
2Ṁ103
3Ṁ90
4Ṁ64
5Ṁ60
Sort by:

This can resolve NO @NiallWeaver

bought Ṁ10 YES

I think there's a reasonable chance Yousaf rides it out. Maybe he resigns after losing lots of seats in UK election, but in that case Sunak is probably technically out of position first?