Will Humza Yousaf remain First Minister of Scotland longer than Rishi Sunak remains Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
40
164
770
2028
1.5%
chance

Resolves YES if Sunak leaves office before Yousaf. Resolves NO otherwise. Leaving office on the same day will be N/A. Date of resignation taking effect is relevant; announcement of resignation (to take effect later) is not.

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bought Ṁ10 YES

I think there's a reasonable chance Yousaf rides it out. Maybe he resigns after losing lots of seats in UK election, but in that case Sunak is probably technically out of position first?

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